Weapon effectiveness and the shapes of damage functions

This paper provides a review of methods of assessing a fragmentation weapon's effectiveness against a point target or an area target with keeping the focus on the necessity of using the Carleton damage function with the correct shape factor.First,cookie-cutter damage functions are redefined to preserve the shape factor of and to have the same lethal area as the corresponding Carleton damage function.Then,closed-form solutions of the effectiveness methods are obtained by using those cookie-cutter damage functions and the Carleton damage function.Finally,the closed-form solutions are applied to calculate the probability of damaging a point target and the expected fractional damage to an area target for several attack scenarios by using cookie-cutter damage functions and the Carleton damage functions with different shape factors.The comparison of the calculation results shows that using cookie-cutter damage functions or the Carleton damage function with a wrong shape factor results in quite signifi-cant differences from using the original Carleton damage function with a correct shape factor when weapon's delivery error deviations are less than or comparable to the lengths of the lethal area and the aim point is far from a target.The effectiveness methods improved in this paper will be useful for mission planning utilizing the precision-guided munitions in circumstances where the collateral damage should be reduced.     

基于结构加权的海面编队预定目标选择方法

海面目标运动和编队阵型的约束特性,使得通过对装订阵型和末制导探测阵型进行点集匹配来选择预定目标成为一种有效途径。但当编队目标释放干扰时,会引起阵型结构发生局部变化,导致目标选择性能恶化。本文基于反舰导弹目标选择需求,分析了传感器导航和探测误差、装订信息误差、编队目标运动和释放干扰等因素所引起的位置点集变形,通过利用阵型中未污染的结构信息,提出了基于几何散列法和结构加权平均Hausdorff距离的编队预定目标选择方法。理论分析和实验结果表明,该方法不受传感器导航误差和编队目标整体运动的影响,在编队存在冲淡干扰时能有效提高目标选择能力。     

外军移动信息系统的发展状况及启示

介绍了国外军队,特别是美军的军事移动信息系统的发展建设情况,包括GloMo、Mosaic、WIN-T、FCS等项目,总结了这些项目在开发过程中的一些经验、教训。在此基础上,提出了发展我军军事移动通信的一些建议。     

云平台上基于关键路径截取的有向无环图应用调度算法

针对云平台上有向无环图科学应用执行容易产生虚拟机资源过剩、资源使用率低及费用虚高的问题,给出一种基于关键路径截取的有向无环图应用调度算法。该算法采取关键路径截取技术,循环找出最晚完成的未分配任务,从该任务出发,在所有未分配任务构成的图中找出最大连通子图,并计算该子图的关键路径,然后将关键路径上的任务集调度到性能匹配的虚拟机上执行;同时通过任务回填技术充分利用虚拟机的空闲时间槽,提高资源使用率。实验结果表明,在云计算平台上,该算法不仅能够在截止时间内完成有向无环图科学应用,而且可以提高资源使用率,有效减少完成该应用所需整体费用。     

Deterring ‘Able Archer’: Comments Arising from Adamsky’s ‘Lessons for Deterrence Theory and Practice’

This is a short commentary on Dmitry Adamsky’s recent article ‘The 1983 Nuclear Crisis – Lessons for Deterrence Theory and Practice’. First, it teases out nuances in the relationship between deterrence and strategy and considers deterrence to be both a strategy and an effect. Second, it explores the culminating point of deterrence in theory and considers it untenable, as it does not conform to the logic of, or to any logic analogous to, Clausewitz’s culminating point of victory. Deterrence logically cannot culminate. Moreover, any culminating point of deterrence would ignore why the potential deteree should perceive the actions of his deterrer in such a way as to render strengthened strategies of deterrence counterproductive. It is the deteree who is the only strategic actor to determine whether the deterrer is actually practising a successful strategy of deterrence or not.     

饱和蒸气比热为负的讨论

本文由热力学理论定量指出,只要两相平衡的饱和蒸气比热为负,饱和蒸气经绝热膨胀后成过饱和蒸气,并讨论了饱和蒸气比热为负的条件。     

基于粒子群优化的点云场景拼接算法

多视点三维点点云场景拼接是解决激光三维主动成像目标自遮挡或被遮挡情况下目标数据不完全问题的一种有效方法,它将直接影响到后续的目标检测与识别处理。本文提出了一种基于粒子群优化（PSO）的点云拼接算法,该方法通过投影分布熵对待拼接场景姿态进行估计,由此获取场景拼接的初值,然后利用PSO实现多视点场景的精确拼接。仿真实验结果表明,本文方法是一种有效可行的方法。     

浅谈云计算在公安警卫信息化工作中的应用与发展前景

随着公安警卫部队信息化建设的全面高速发展,云计算技术将更多地应用于警卫信息化建设。展望云计算在警卫信息化建设中的应用前景,分析当前警卫信息化建设中运用云计算技术所面临的问题及对策。     

复合假设下导弹可靠性指标Bayes检验方法

在用Bayes方法对海防战术导弹可靠性指标进行假设检验时,原假设和对立假设均采用简单假设的形式,而此种方法可能导致使用方Bayes风险增大。从理论上阐述了简单假设Bayes检验方法可能导致使用方Bayes风险增大的原因,同时给出了用于取代简单假设的复合假设Bayes检验方法,并用实例证明了它比简单假设Bayes检验方法科学、合理。     

云计算系统虚拟机内存资源预留方法

为降低消费者租借云计算系统资源的开销,提出了成本约束的内存预留随机整数线性规划模型及方法。结合预留计划和按需计划的内存资源价格,设计包含成本及资源总量约束条件的随机开销函数,并以函数期望值最小化为目标,基于内存消耗量概率分布求出优化的内存预留量。试验表明,消费者利用该方法租借资源的开销比利用预留计划、按需计划及同类方法租借资源的开销更小。